Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001729 0.001845 0.001965 0.002099 0.002243 0.002396 0.002569
2025-01-05 0.001545 0.001706 0.001880 0.002082 0.002311 0.002564 0.002864
2025-01-12 0.001401 0.001587 0.001794 0.002042 0.002334 0.002667 0.003078
2025-01-19 0.001303 0.001506 0.001739 0.002025 0.002371 0.002779 0.003298
2025-01-26 0.001189 0.001397 0.001640 0.001946 0.002324 0.002780 0.003379
2025-02-02 0.001159 0.001385 0.001653 0.001998 0.002435 0.002976 0.003706
2025-02-09 0.001125 0.001364 0.001653 0.002032 0.002523 0.003144 0.004004
2025-02-16 0.001119 0.001376 0.001693 0.002117 0.002677 0.003404 0.004436
2025-02-23 0.001077 0.001340 0.001669 0.002117 0.002719 0.003515 0.004672
2025-03-02 0.001013 0.001272 0.001601 0.002054 0.002673 0.003505 0.004736
2025-03-09 0.000963 0.001221 0.001551 0.002013 0.002652 0.003527 0.004844
2025-03-16 0.000932 0.001193 0.001531 0.002010 0.002684 0.003621 0.005060
2025-03-23 0.000890 0.001151 0.001495 0.001989 0.002697 0.003700 0.005276
2025-03-30 0.000852 0.001115 0.001464 0.001975 0.002718 0.003793 0.005522
2025-04-06 0.000810 0.001070 0.001420 0.001937 0.002704 0.003832 0.005685
2025-04-13 0.000778 0.001037 0.001391 0.001921 0.002720 0.003915 0.005922
2025-04-20 0.000730 0.000980 0.001325 0.001847 0.002643 0.003852 0.005916
2025-04-27 0.000723 0.000981 0.001342 0.001896 0.002756 0.004089 0.006423
2025-05-04 0.000712 0.000975 0.001347 0.001928 0.002843 0.004290 0.006883
2025-05-11 0.000715 0.000990 0.001383 0.002007 0.003010 0.004630 0.007610
2025-05-18 0.000696 0.000971 0.001369 0.002007 0.003047 0.004756 0.007967
2025-05-25 0.000662 0.000929 0.001318 0.001948 0.002986 0.004712 0.008005
2025-06-01 0.000635 0.000897 0.001281 0.001910 0.002956 0.004719 0.008139